《领导者》总第73期出版

各位读者朋友：

　　《领导者》杂志总第73期（2016年12月）已经出版，部分文章将在钝角网发布，以飨读者。

　　附：《领导者》总第73期中英文目录和摘要

　　·观察·

　　全球事务

　　9 加拉格尔（美国） 张娟 美国反恐战略再思考

　　14 Françoise Nicolas （法国） 中国与世界经济秩序：一场和缓却确实的对抗

　　28 唐昊 社会运动如何取代了政党

　　34 王洪起 俄罗斯提升在巴尔干地区的影响力：近年的举措

　　40 Florence Gaub（德国） 中东北非地区的文武关系：在脆弱与韧性之间

　　转型

　　57 唐世平 权力/制度与社会

　　·智慧·

　　72 伊戈尔·巴里诺夫（俄罗斯） 当代俄罗斯反乌克兰与反西方神话中的塔勒豪夫形象

　　88 杜冰 巴基斯坦军队的政治角色：一种简史

　　119 邓峰 1975年金日成访华与中朝分歧——基于东欧国家解密档案的研究

　　来信讨论

　　128 尹继武 特朗普的战略决策心理与风格

　　133 邹思聪 日本外交官孙崎享对中日国境问题的看法

　　144 张书克 大使书生：胡适任驻美大使期间的读书生活

　　Content of Issue 73 of the magazine Leaders

　　Observation

　　Global Affairs

　　9 Interview with John Gallagher

　　14 China and the Global Economic Order: A Discreet yet Undeniable Contestation

　　28 How Has Social Movements Replaced Political Parties

　　34 Russia’s Recent Maneuvers to Increase Its Influence in the Balkans

　　40 Civil-Military Relations in the Middle East and North Africa: Between Fragility and Resilience

　　Transition

　　57 Power, Institution and Society

　　Wisdom

　　72 Image of Talerhof in Modern Russia’s Anti-Ukrainian and Anti-Western Mythology

　　88 A Brief History of Civil-Military Relation in Pakistan

　　119 Kim Il-sung’s Visit to China in 1975 and the Disagreements between China and North Korea

　　Letters

　　128 Donald Trump’s Strategic Decision-Making Mindset and Style

　　133 Ukeru Magosaki’s Views on China-Japan Territorial Disputes

　　144 Hu Shih’s Reading Experience while Being an Ambassador to U.S.

　　Summary of Issue 73 of the magazine Leaders

　　Interview with John Gallagher

　　The U.S. and China can work together to address the terrorism threat that is destabilizing key regions and the world. In fact, terror groups want the U.S. and China to compete with each other, not to cooperate. To build upon the “common ground” of counterterrorism/countering violent extremism will require compromise and a truly strategic approach on both sides, but doing so will allow the U.S. and China to apply our national power to reduce the problem significantly much sooner. We must, as our citizens, and especially our children, deserve this.

　　China and the Global Economic Order: A Discreet yet Undeniable Contestation

　　In parallel with its economic takeoff, China has progressively shifted from a stance in favour of the global economic order – as defined and imposed following the Second World War – to a simple reformist approach that did not fundamentally challenge the established order, and then more recently to an increasingly overt revisionist approach, accompanied by the establishment of new institutions under Chinese influence. That being said, while China’s strategy is becoming more offensive, it remains fundamentally experimental in nature and the end goal remains unclear. Under the current conditions, it is far from certain that we are heading for a new global economic order where China rules supreme.

　　Civil-Military Relations in the Middle East and North Africa: Between Fragility and Resilience

　　The fact is, neither civilian nor military side can achieve effective defence without the other - in truth, they depend on each other in order to do so. The civilian side needs military expertise whereas the military side needs resources and a certain degree of operational freedom. The goal of all actors - whether civilian or military, regional or external - has to be the creation of a constructive and resilient relationship which can not only adapt to changing conditions and overcome crises, but provide security. Without security, no economic prosperity, no political reform and no progress is possible. Resilience is a key term here: ultimately civil-military relations need to be based on a set of exchanges which have to be capable of sustaining disagreement, conflict and power struggles without derailing the system as a whole.

各位读者朋友：

　　《领导者》杂志总第73期（2016年12月）已经出版，部分文章将在钝角网发布，以飨读者。

　　附：《领导者》总第73期中英文目录和摘要

　　·观察·

　　全球事务

　　9 加拉格尔（美国） 张娟 美国反恐战略再思考

　　14 Françoise Nicolas （法国） 中国与世界经济秩序：一场和缓却确实的对抗

　　28 唐昊 社会运动如何取代了政党

　　34 王洪起 俄罗斯提升在巴尔干地区的影响力：近年的举措

　　40 Florence Gaub（德国） 中东北非地区的文武关系：在脆弱与韧性之间

　　转型

　　57 唐世平 权力/制度与社会

　　·智慧·

　　72 伊戈尔·巴里诺夫（俄罗斯） 当代俄罗斯反乌克兰与反西方神话中的塔勒豪夫形象

　　88 杜冰 巴基斯坦军队的政治角色：一种简史

　　119 邓峰 1975年金日成访华与中朝分歧——基于东欧国家解密档案的研究

　　来信讨论

　　128 尹继武 特朗普的战略决策心理与风格

　　133 邹思聪 日本外交官孙崎享对中日国境问题的看法

　　144 张书克 大使书生：胡适任驻美大使期间的读书生活

　　Content of Issue 73 of the magazine Leaders

　　Observation

　　Global Affairs

　　9 Interview with John Gallagher

　　14 China and the Global Economic Order: A Discreet yet Undeniable Contestation

　　28 How Has Social Movements Replaced Political Parties

　　34 Russia’s Recent Maneuvers to Increase Its Influence in the Balkans

　　40 Civil-Military Relations in the Middle East and North Africa: Between Fragility and Resilience

　　Transition

　　57 Power, Institution and Society

　　Wisdom

　　72 Image of Talerhof in Modern Russia’s Anti-Ukrainian and Anti-Western Mythology

　　88 A Brief History of Civil-Military Relation in Pakistan

　　119 Kim Il-sung’s Visit to China in 1975 and the Disagreements between China and North Korea

　　Letters

　　128 Donald Trump’s Strategic Decision-Making Mindset and Style

　　133 Ukeru Magosaki’s Views on China-Japan Territorial Disputes

　　144 Hu Shih’s Reading Experience while Being an Ambassador to U.S.

　　Summary of Issue 73 of the magazine Leaders

　　Interview with John Gallagher

　　The U.S. and China can work together to address the terrorism threat that is destabilizing key regions and the world. In fact, terror groups want the U.S. and China to compete with each other, not to cooperate. To build upon the “common ground” of counterterrorism/countering violent extremism will require compromise and a truly strategic approach on both sides, but doing so will allow the U.S. and China to apply our national power to reduce the problem significantly much sooner. We must, as our citizens, and especially our children, deserve this.

　　China and the Global Economic Order: A Discreet yet Undeniable Contestation

　　In parallel with its economic takeoff, China has progressively shifted from a stance in favour of the global economic order – as defined and imposed following the Second World War – to a simple reformist approach that did not fundamentally challenge the established order, and then more recently to an increasingly overt revisionist approach, accompanied by the establishment of new institutions under Chinese influence. That being said, while China’s strategy is becoming more offensive, it remains fundamentally experimental in nature and the end goal remains unclear. Under the current conditions, it is far from certain that we are heading for a new global economic order where China rules supreme.

　　Civil-Military Relations in the Middle East and North Africa: Between Fragility and Resilience

　　The fact is, neither civilian nor military side can achieve effective defence without the other - in truth, they depend on each other in order to do so. The civilian side needs military expertise whereas the military side needs resources and a certain degree of operational freedom. The goal of all actors - whether civilian or military, regional or external - has to be the creation of a constructive and resilient relationship which can not only adapt to changing conditions and overcome crises, but provide security. Without security, no economic prosperity, no political reform and no progress is possible. Resilience is a key term here: ultimately civil-military relations need to be based on a set of exchanges which have to be capable of sustaining disagreement, conflict and power struggles without derailing the system as a whole.